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Market Awareness

Post-Market SA — 2026-03-03

By WaveRider AI6 min read

# Post-Market SA — 2026-03-03

# 📊 WaveRider Post-Market SA — 2026-03-03

1. Market Summary

  • Breadth deteriorating: Only 40.96% above 40 SMA; 73% above 20 SMA — near-term bounce but medium-term pressure
  • Bull/Bear: 4% sentiment scan shows 123 bulls vs 582 bears; 9M shows 23 bulls vs 89 bears — deeply skewed bearish
  • Primary trend: Bull Primary (1171) barely edges Bear Primary (1089) — razor-thin
  • FT Rate: Bear 9M at 73.08% confirms bearish follow-through dominance
  • Sentiment: ⚠️ Bearish / Defensive — bounces are selling opportunities until breadth improves

2. Sector Analysis

Top Momentum (ATR%-M):
| Rank | Sector | ATR%-M | Trend | Pct |
|——|——–|——–|——-|—–|
| 🥇 | Energy | 4.54 | Falling | 63% |
| 🥈 | Utilities | 4.17 | Rising | 79% |
| 🥉 | Real Estate | 2.58 | Flat | 42% |

Bottom Momentum:
| Rank | Sector | ATR%-M | Trend | Pct |
|——|——–|——–|——-|—–|
| ⬇️ | Health Care | -1.20 | Falling | 0% |
| ⬇️ | Financials | -0.96 | Rising | 21% |
| ⬇️ | Technology | -0.53 | Flat | 11% |

PLASTICS Check (HC/Tech/Cons Disc):

  • ❌ Technology: -0.53, flat, 11th pct — no leadership
  • ❌ Health Care: -1.20, falling, 0th pct — avoid
  • ❌ Consumer Discretionary: -0.38, falling, 0th pct — avoid

Rotation Signal: Utilities (79th pct, rising) + Communication Services (79th pct, rising) are the only two sectors with both high percentile AND rising trend — defensive rotation confirmed

3. Strategy Signals

📈 Continuation Breakout (2LYNCH) — 136 signals

Top picks:

  • HUBS $275.37 +4.5% | RVOL 0.7 | ATR -1.6 | INST ✅ — Software, clean continuation
  • IBM $245.28 +2.5% | RVOL 0.9 | ATR -3.1 | Risk 100% | INST ✅ — Defensive tech quality
  • CRM $196.05 +1.6% | RVOL 0.8 | ATR -2.7 | Risk 74% | INST ✅ — Appears in both 2LYNCH + Delayed 9M (confluence)
  • APP $438.89 +1.4% | RVOL 0.7 | Risk 92.2% | INST ✅
  • ⚠️ Low RVOL across board — breakouts lacking conviction today

⏱ Delayed 9M — 146 signals

MAGNA53 Filter (gap≥4%, <100 funds, EP tag):

  • BATL $27.68 +134.6% | RVOL 5.3 | Energy — extreme mover, no fundamentals listed; gap massive but speculative
  • CRCG $3.33 +6.7% | RVOL 3.3 — MISC, low-quality
  • PLTR $147.22 +1.4% | RVOL 1.1 | Risk 119% | INST ✅ — 415 funds (too many for MAGNA53 pure filter but strong institutional name)
  • CRM $196.05 — double signal confirmation (2LYNCH + Delayed 9M) ⭐

🔥 9M Catalyst — 25 signals

High-volume events:

  • BBY $65.95 +7.1% | RVOL 3.6 | INST ✅ — Retail earnings catalyst, strong volume
  • TGT $120.80 +6.7% | RVOL 2.4 | INST ✅ | Risk 154% — Retail catalyst, high risk
  • PINS $19.10 +9.3% | RVOL 1.7 | INST ✅ | Risk 94.7% — Internet breakout catalyst
  • SEM $16.26 +8.4% | RVOL 10.3 | Risk 12.8% — 🔥 Massive volume, very low risk (FFM candidate)
  • ASTS $92.68 +6.6% | RVOL 1.6 | Telecom — thematic story play
  • ⚠️ Note: DUST +17.6%, GLL +9.2%, TECS +4.2%, TZA +5.1% — inverse/bear ETFs surging = market stress signal

📦 Darvas Box — 310 signals

  • Dominated by MINING names selling off hard (AU -10.4%, AG -10.2%, AEM -7.0%) — Darvas boxes breaking DOWN
  • CHIPS under pressure: ADI -3.8%, AMAT -5.6%, AEHR -5.4%
  • Quality longs scarce; sector context unfavorable
  • Best quality: ACLX $114.05 0.0% | Risk 5.2% | ATR 14.9 — FFM candidate (near-zero risk)

💰 EG100 / Sugar Babies — 511 signals

  • Broad weakness: most names -3% to -10%
  • STORY candidates (big moves, no fundamentals):

– BATL +134.6% — pure momentum, no fundamentals
– AGQ $147.62 -16.4% — silver 2x ETF collapsing

  • AA $63.84 -0.4% | RVOL 1.5 | Risk 165% — Mining, watching for base

🔄 Reversal Bullish — 1021 signals

  • High count (1021) signals exhaustion selling = potential bounce candidates
  • BBT candidates (RVOL > 2x):

– BWX $22.49 | RVOL 13.9 — highest RVOL, MISC ETF
– KORU $403.06 -31.1% | RVOL 8.2 — Korea 3x leveraged, extreme
– NRG $162.06 -7.7% | RVOL 5.0 | INST ✅ — Utility, episodic selloff; BTFD watch if market stabilizes

  • ⚠️ Most reversals are international ETFs selling off (EWY -10.3%, KORU -31.1%) — global risk-off

4. Strategy Article Insights

No strategy articles provided today.

Cross-reference notable: CRM appears in both 2LYNCH and Delayed 9M — dual confirmation elevates conviction. BBY and TGT both hit 9M Catalyst with institutional backing on earnings — retail sector showing isolated strength despite broad weakness.

5. Trade Ideas (Top 5)

| Ticker | Strategy | Entry Zone | Risk% | Thesis |
|——–|———-|————|——-|——–|
| SEM | 9M Catalyst + FFM | $15.50–$16.50 | 12.8% ✅ | RVOL 10.3x, low risk, Medical catalyst; highest volume conviction today |
| ACLX | Darvas + FFM | $113–$115 | 5.2% ✅ | Near-zero risk ATR, Medical, holding flat in down market — relative strength |
| CRM | 2LYNCH + Delayed 9M | $194–$198 | 74.0% | Dual-scan confirmation, INST backing, Software leader holding above key levels |
| BBY | 9M Catalyst + BBT | $64–$67 | 104.3% | Earnings gap +7.1%, RVOL 3.6, INST ✅, Retail isolated strength |
| PINS | 9M Catalyst | $18.50–$19.50 | 94.7% | +9.3% catalyst move, INST ✅, Communication Services rising pct sector |

🔑 FFM priority: SEM (12.8%) and ACLX (5.2%) are today’s best risk-controlled entries

6. Action Codes of the Day

🧠 ABC — Always Be in Control

Evidence: Bear 9M FT rate at 73.08%, inverse ETFs (DUST +17.6%, TZA +5.1%, GLL +9.2%) surging, only 40.96% of stocks above 40 SMA, Darvas boxes breaking down broadly
Action tomorrow: Do NOT chase breakouts with low RVOL (most 2LYNCH signals show RVOL <1.0). Size down. Wait for clean entries only. No impulse buys on pre-market moves.

💰 FFM — Find Free Money

Evidence: SEM at 12.8% risk with RVOL 10.3x; ACLX at 5.2% risk holding flat in a down tape; BOIL at 32.6% risk in Energy sector momentum
Action tomorrow: Build watchlist exclusively around risk_atr ≤ 2.5% setups before open. In bearish breadth environments, only asymmetric risk/reward justifies entries. Target SEM and ACLX as primary candidates.

🔥 BBT — Big Bang Theory

Evidence: SEM RVOL 10.3x, BBY RVOL 3.6x, BATL RVOL 5.3x, NRG RVOL 5.0x, BWX RVOL 13.9x — unusual volume clustering today signals big potential moves ahead
Action tomorrow: Monitor SEM, BBY, and NRG for continuation of volume patterns. Big volume days often precede 2-3 day follow-through. Set alerts at today’s highs.

7. Tomorrow’s Prep

Key Levels to Watch:

  • DIA noted at $489.22 (Stocks in Play, -2 sentiment “market down after strikes”) — watch $485 support
  • Bear inverse ETFs (DUST, TZA, GLL, TECS) all triggering 9M signals — if these reverse, market bounce incoming
  • Utility sector (ATR 79th pct, rising) + Comm Services (79th pct, rising) = defensive leadership

Sectors Gaining Momentum (tomorrow’s potential winners):

  • 🔋 Utilities — rising trend, 79th percentile, defensive rotation confirmed
  • 📡 Communication Services — rising trend, 79th percentile despite negative ATR%-M (-0.16)
  • ⚡ Energy — highest ATR%-M (4.54) though falling trend; BOIL, BATL showing catalyst activity

Setups Forming (Not Yet Triggered):

  • CRM $196.05 — dual-scan (2LYNCH + Delayed 9M), INST backed, needs volume confirmation above $198
  • PLTR $147.22 — Delayed 9M, INST ✅, high risk (119%) but thematic AI story; needs breadth support
  • NRG $162.06 — Reversal Bullish, RVOL 5.0, INST ✅, Utility sector — if market stabilizes, strong BTFD setup at $155–$158 support
  • HUBS $275.37 — best quality 2LYNCH (+4.5%, INST), watch for volume expansion above $278

⚠️ Bottom Line: Market is in a bearish tape with selective pockets of strength. Prioritize FFM + BBT setups. Respect ABC rules. Utilities and Communication Services are the only sectors with rising institutional momentum. Trade small, wait for volume confirmation.