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Market Awareness

Post-Market SA — 2026-03-04

By WaveRider AI7 min read

# Post-Market SA — 2026-03-04

# 📊 WaveRider Post-Market SA — 2026-03-04

1. Market Summary

Breadth is split: 67% above 20SMA but only 44.3% above 40SMA — short-term strength sitting on top of a weaker foundation. Bull Primary (1256) leads Bear (1017), but Sentiment 4% reads just 4% Very Bullish with 40SMA still Bearish — a warning flag beneath the surface rally.

  • Bull 9M: 48 vs Bear 9M: 13 — intraday momentum favors bulls
  • FT Rate Bull 9M: 30.43 vs Bear 9M: 10.11 — follow-through strongly tilted bullish
  • Sentiment: ⚠️ Cautiously Bullish — breadth improving short-term, underlying trend still bearish

2. Sector Analysis

🔼 Top Momentum (ATR%-M)
| Rank | Sector | ATR%-M | Trend | Percentile |
|——|——–|——–|——-|————|
| 1 | Utilities | 4.34 | Rising | 84% |
| 2 | Energy | 4.14 | Flat | 42% |
| 3 | Real Estate | 2.24 | Flat | 16% |

🔽 Bottom Momentum
| Rank | Sector | ATR%-M | Trend | Percentile |
|——|——–|——–|——-|————|
| 9 | Technology | -0.36 | Falling | 21% |
| 10 | Financials | -0.84 | Rising | 32% |
| 11 | Health Care | -1.14 | Falling | 5% |

PLASTICS Check (HC / Tech / Cons Disc):

  • 🔴 Technology: -0.36, falling — not leading
  • 🔴 Health Care: -1.14, falling — weakest sector
  • 🔴 Consumer Discretionary: -0.18, falling, 11th percentile

Rotation Signal: Utilities surging to 84th percentile with a rising trend signals defensive rotation. Communication Services quietly rising to 95th percentile — watch for breakouts there. Financials rising despite negative ATR%-M — early accumulation possible.

3. Strategy Signals

📈 Continuation Breakout (2LYNCH) — 119 signals

Top picks:

  • COIN $208.93 +14.6% | RVOL 1.7 | ATR%-M 0.3 | Risk 97.1% | INST ✅ — Crypto surge, institutional, 9M catalyst overlap
  • APP $482.81 +10.0% | RVOL 1.1 | ATR%-M -1.3 | Risk 108.7% | INST ✅ — Software with institutional backing
  • ESLT $885.00 +7.5% | RVOL 2.4 | ATR%-M 7.7 | Risk 138.0% — Aerospace, best RVOL in group
  • DK $43.18 +5.5% | RVOL 1.3 | ATR%-M 6.8 | Risk 136.3% — Energy sector aligned
  • KRMN $98.88 +8.5% | RVOL 0.9 | ATR%-M 0.9 | Risk 114.7% — Aerospace, clean mover

Quality note: High risk% across the board — most are extended. COIN and APP have institutional validation but risk is elevated. Use smaller size.

⏱️ Delayed 9M — 123 signals

MAGNA53 Filter Check (gap≥4%, <100 funds):

  • ASTS $104.89 +13.2% | RVOL 1.5 | 0 funds — Gap was -4.54 equivalent context; TELECOM; no institutional tag — MAGNA53 candidate ⭐
  • BATL $18.57 -32.9% | RVOL 1.8 | ATR%-M 20.7 — Extreme mover, high risk 170.2%, speculative only
  • AAOI $99.71 +4.6% | RVOL 1.4 | ATR%-M 13.5 | Risk 85.2% — TELECOM, high volatility
  • ETHA/FETH +8.8% each — Ethereum ETF proxies riding crypto wave; low fund count, MISC bucket
  • PLTR $153.19 +4.1% | RVOL 0.9 | INST ✅ | Risk 67.9% — Cleanest delayed setup with institutional backing

⚡ 9M Catalyst — 28 signals

High-Volume Events:

  • BW $11.80 +45.7% | RVOL 8.1 | $2.4B deal catalyst (SIP confirms: Q4 results + deal) — BBT triggered ⭐
  • EOLS $5.59 +35.4% | RVOL 14.3 — Highest RVOL today; Medical; extreme move
  • DAWN $12.87 +28.3% | RVOL 6.2 | Risk 326.0% — Medical catalyst, too risky for most
  • COIN $208.93 +14.6% | RVOL 1.7 | INST ✅ — Cross-listed in 2LYNCH; crypto wave confirmed
  • ASTS $104.89 +13.2% | RVOL 1.5 — TELECOM, also in Delayed 9M; multi-signal convergence ⭐

Crypto Wave: BTC +7.2%, BITX +14.2%, ETHU +17.6%, COIN +14.6% — coordinated crypto surge. ARKB, BITO, ETH, ETHA, FETH all +7-9%. Theme is clear and broad.

📦 Darvas Box — 358 signals

Top quality picks (low risk + institutional):

  • AMAT $357.76 +1.8% | RVOL 0.7 | Risk 43.9% | INST ✅ | CHIPS — Clean Darvas in quality name
  • ADI $341.51 +0.7% | RVOL 0.7 | Risk 22.1% | INST ✅ | CHIPS — Tight setup
  • AGI $51.96 -0.6% | RVOL 1.0 | Risk 25.2% | INST ✅ | MINING — Gold miner, defensive aligned
  • ANET $134.83 +8.2% | RVOL 0.7 | Risk 109.4% | INST ✅ | COMPUTER — Extended today
  • ALB $168.35 +2.2% | RVOL 0.9 | Risk 5.0% | INST ✅ — FFM candidate ⭐ (Risk 5.0%)

FFM Alert — ADI (22.1%), AGI (25.2%), ALB (5.0%) — these are the tightest risk setups in the Darvas list.

🍬 EG100 / Sugar Babies — 523 signals

STORY Candidates (movers without fundamental anchor):

  • AAOI $99.71 +4.6% | ATR%-M 13.5 — High ATR, TELECOM momentum story
  • AEHR $42.66 +2.5% | RVOL 1.5 | ATR%-M 5.3 | CHIPS — Semiconductor theme
  • ALAB $113.77 +3.6% | RVOL 0.9 | INST ✅ | CHIPS — AI chip story
  • AEVA $15.01 +7.4% | RVOL 1.1 | ATR%-M 0.2 — Auto/sensor tech story
  • AGQ $149.94 +1.6% | Risk 14.1% — Silver 2x ETF, metals theme building

🔄 Reversal Bullish — 104 signals

Market didn’t have a major dip today (breadth above 20SMA at 67%), so BTFD is NOT activated. However, notable high-RVOL reversals:

  • RSPG $100.88 | RVOL 3.6 | ATR%-M 4.1 | Utilities aligned ⭐
  • ANF $95.65 -3.6% | RVOL 3.0 | RETAIL — Pullback in consumer name
  • VG $11.16 -2.6% | RVOL 2.9 | ATR%-M 3.8 | ENERGY
  • PKX $61.04 -4.0% | RVOL 2.1 | METALS — Defensive metals pullback

Note: Reversals are defensive/commodity-weighted — consistent with the rotation signal from Utilities and Energy leading.

4. Strategy Article Insights

No strategy articles provided for today’s session. Cross-referencing available:

  • COIN appears in both 2LYNCH and 9M Catalyst — multi-signal confirmation is the strongest quality filter
  • ASTS appears in Delayed 9M, 9M Catalyst — dual-signal convergence worth watchlisting
  • AAOI appears in Delayed 9M, Darvas, and EG100 — broad scan presence, TELECOM sector with rising Communication Services backdrop (95th percentile)

5. Trade Ideas — Top 5

| Ticker | Strategy | Entry Zone | Risk% | Thesis |
|——–|———-|————|——-|——–|
| ALB | Darvas + FFM | $168.35 area | 5.0% | Tightest risk in Darvas; INST backed; chemical/materials; Darvas box intact |
| COIN | 2LYNCH + 9M Catalyst | $208.93 pullback | 97.1% | Crypto wave confirmed across BTC/ETH proxies; INST; multi-signal; size small |
| ASTS | Delayed 9M + 9M Catalyst | $104.89 | 104.8% | MAGNA53 candidate; TELECOM; 0 funds = early; RVOL 1.5; dual-scan hit |
| ADI | Darvas + FFM | $341.51 | 22.1% | CHIPS/INST; tight Darvas; low risk; sector lagging but Darvas structure intact |
| PLTR | Delayed 9M | $153.19 | 67.9% | INST ✅; Software; clean delayed setup; RVOL 0.9 (not extended); best risk in 9M software |

FFM Priority: ALB (5.0%) and ADI (22.1%) are the lowest-risk setups in today’s entire dataset.

6. Action Codes of the Day

🎯 ABC — Always Be in Control

Evidence: Sentiment at just 4% Very Bullish while 40SMA is still Bearish. Bear Primary count is 1017 vs Bull 1256 — gap is narrowing, not decisive. Multiple high-risk% signals (BW 239.9%, DAWN 326.0%) could tempt traders to chase.
Action tomorrow: Do NOT chase extended crypto names or gap-up speculative plays. Set your entry zones BEFORE open. Reduce size on anything above 100% risk.

💰 FFM — Find Free Money

Evidence: ALB at Risk 5.0%, ADI at 22.1%, AGI at 25.2% — rare tight setups in a volatile day. The market produced 358 Darvas signals and 523 EG100 signals, but only a handful meet the ≤2.5% threshold.
Action tomorrow: Build watchlist around ALB and ADI first. These work instantly or they don’t — tight stop, defined risk, no guessing.

📊 BBT — Big Bang Theory

Evidence: BW hit RVOL 8.1 with a $2.4B deal catalyst (+45.7%). EOLS hit RVOL 14.3 (+35.4%). Crypto cluster (COIN RVOL 1.7, BITX RVOL 1.5, BTC RVOL 1.5) shows coordinated institutional volume before potential continuation.
Action tomorrow: Watch BW and COIN at open for orderly consolidation. Big volume days often precede multi-day moves — if they don’t gap-and-fail at open, the follow-through window is Day 2.

7. Tomorrow’s Prep

Key Levels:

  • Watch 40SMA participation — currently 44.3% stocks above it; a push above 50% would shift breadth to neutral-bullish
  • Monitor Bull Primary vs Bear Primary — 1256 vs 1017; need Bulls to expand lead

Sectors Gaining Momentum:

  • 🔥 Communication Services (95th percentile, rising) — highest percentile rank in the universe; look for breakouts here
  • ⚡ Utilities (84th percentile, rising) — defensive money rotating in; RSPG reversal worth watching
  • 📡 TELECOM crossovers — ASTS and AAOI both in multiple scans; sector aligned with Comm Services rise

Notable Setups Forming (Not Yet Triggered):

  • AAOI — Darvas + Delayed 9M + EG100 triple convergence; ATR%-M 13.5 means explosive potential; wait for clean entry
  • AGI — Mining/gold Darvas with INST backing; RSPG and metals reversals suggest commodities building base
  • PLTR — Delayed 9M with INST; Software sector weak now but PLTR is early relative to peers; watch for 40SMA reclaim
  • ANET — Extended today (+8.2%) but Darvas confirmed with INST; set alert for 3-5% pullback to box top

WaveRider Chief Market Strategist | Report generated EOD 2026-03-04 | All signals from proprietary scan data