Post-Market SA β 2026-03-05
# Post-Market SA β 2026-03-05
# π WaveRider Post-Market SA β 2026-03-05
1. Market Summary
Breadth is deteriorating. Bears dominate across every timeframe:
- Bull 4% : 136 vs Bear 4%: 275 β nearly 2:1 bear dominance
- % Above 20 SMA: 41% | % Above 40 SMA: 38.35% β majority below both MAs
- Primary trend still bull-leaning (826 vs 758) but eroding fast
- Sentiment 4% & 40SMA: Both Bearish
- Failure-to-rally rate: Bears 25 vs Bulls 13.64 β bears converting more setups
Market Sentiment: β οΈ Defensive / Selective Risk
2. Sector Analysis
π’ Top 3 Momentum (ATR%-M)
| Sector | ATR%-M | Signal |
|βββ|βββ|βββ|
| Energy | +4.69 | Rising β 79th %ile |
| Utilities | +3.52 | Flat β defensive bid |
| Real Estate | +1.73 | Flat β yield play |
π΄ Bottom 3
| Sector | ATR%-M | Signal |
|βββ|βββ|βββ|
| Health Care | -1.61 | Falling β 0th %ile |
| Financials | -1.17 | Flat 5th %ile |
| Consumer Disc | -0.51 | Falling β 0th %ile |
PLASTICS Check:
- π΄ Tech: -0.36, falling, 16th %ile β weak
- π΄ Health Care: -1.61 β avoid
- π΄ Consumer Disc: -0.51 β avoid
- β Energy + Comm Services (rising, 63rd %ile) are the rotational winners today
3. Strategy Signals
π Continuation 2LYNCH β 48 signals
Top picks:
- CF $110.78 +5.8% | RVOL 3.0 | ATR%-M +5.8 | Agriculture β strongest momentum
- INTU $466.79 +6.0% | RVOL 1.4 | INST backed β software leader holding
- NOW $120.38 +5.7% | RVOL 1.2 | INST | dual appearance (also 9M Catalyst)
- CEG $332.07 +2.9% | Energy sector tailwind | INST
- β οΈ Most have negative ATR%-M β quality narrows quickly to CF/CEG/INTU
π Delayed 9M β 98 signals | MAGNA53 Filter
MAGNA53 candidates (gapβ₯4%, <100 funds):
- AMPX $14.89 +18.6% | RVOL 3.9 | 0 funds | Energy | ATR%-M +4.8 β
- BW $13.29 +12.6% | RVOL 4.0 | 0 funds | Machine β
- Volatility ETFs (UVIX/UVXY/VXX/VIXY) all +6-12% with RVOL 1.4-1.5 β market stress signal, not setups
- DUST +978% / HIBS +913% = inverse ETF distortion, ignore
β‘ 9M Catalyst β 21 signals | BBT
High-conviction volume events:
- TTD $29.79 +18.4% | RVOL 4.4 | INST | OpenAI ad talks β narrative catalyst π₯
- OKTA $79.65 +11.0% | RVOL 2.5 | INST | earnings-driven software
- ALTO $4.02 +54.6% | RVOL 36.8 | EPS beat (EP note) β extreme volume
- AVGO $332.77 +4.8% | RVOL 2.3 | 5K inst | Chips leader
- DOW/LYB β Chemical sector showing unusual strength (sector rotation signal)
π¦ Darvas Box β 295 signals
Largest list but mostly mining/chips/medical pulling back. Quality tight setups:
- ANET $139.40 +3.4% | RVOL 0.9 | INST | Computer
- APA $32.38 +4.1% | RVOL 1.3 | INST | Energy β sector aligned β
- Most Darvas signals showing negative change % β box integrity questionable in this tape
π EG100 / Sugar Babies β 514 signals | STORY
STORY candidates (big move, thin fundamentals):
- ALTO $4.02 +54.6% | RVOL 36.8 | Basic Materials β EP + BBT combo
- ACDC $5.31 +6.0% | RVOL 1.4 | Energy theme
- ALAB $120.00 +5.5% | RVOL 1.0 | INST | Chips
π Reversal Bullish β 182 signals | BTFD
Market not in Fed-driven dip buy mode. Breadth too weak for aggressive BTFD.
Notable high-volume reversals:
- SSYS $9.10 -7.1% | RVOL 5.5 β watch for next-day stabilization
- STUB $8.91 -12.4% | RVOL 5.1 β heavy selling, caution
4. Strategy Article Insights
No strategy articles provided today. Applying core framework directly to scan data.
5. Trade Ideas β Top 5
| Ticker | Strategy | Entry Zone | Risk% | Thesis |
|βββ|βββ-|ββββ|ββ-|βββ|
| TTD | BBT + MAGNA53 | $29.79β$30.50 | 28.1% | OpenAI ad catalyst, RVOL 4.4x, INST backed, narrative momentum |
| CF | 2LYNCH | $110β$112 | 108.5% | Best ATR%-M in continuation scan (+5.8), RVOL 3.0, ag sector strength |
| CEG | 2LYNCH + Energy | $330β$335 | 101.8% | Energy #1 sector, INST, nuclear energy theme, ATR%-M positive |
| AMPX | Delayed 9M + MAGNA53 | $14β$15.50 | 133.2% | 0 funds (<100 β
), RVOL 3.9, Energy sector aligned, +18.6% | | AVGO | 9M Catalyst + FFM | $330β$335 | 67.8% | 5K inst, RVOL 2.3, chips leader, best institutional quality in catalyst scan |
β οΈ FFM Note: No clean β€2.5% risk setups exist today. TTD at 28.1% is lowest in catalyst scan β size accordingly. This is a reduced-size environment.
6. Action Codes of the Day
π΄ ABC β Always Be in Control
Evidence: Bear 4% (275) nearly double Bull 4% (136). Failure rate for bears at 25 vs bulls 13.64. Volatility ETFs (UVXY +10%, VXX +6.5%) surging = stress. 7 of 11 sectors have negative or near-zero ATR%-M.
Action Tomorrow: Do NOT chase opens. Set alerts at clean breakout levels only. Reduce position size by 30-50% from normal. If a setup doesnβt work within 30 min β exit.
β‘ BBT β Big Bang Theory
Evidence: TTD RVOL 4.4x (+18.4%), ALTO RVOL 36.8x (+54.6%), OKTA RVOL 2.5x (+11%), BW RVOL 4.0x (+12.6%), AMPX RVOL 3.9x (+18.6%). Multiple 9M catalyst signals firing with genuine institutional volume.
Action Tomorrow: TTD and OKTA are the focus. Pre-market: check if volume holds overnight. Watch for early consolidation near todayβs close β enter on first pullback with volume confirmation, not at open.
π― CRT β Controlled Risk Taking
Evidence: Despite bearish breadth, 48 continuation signals fired and Software/Energy producing real winners (INTU +6%, CF +5.8%, NOW +5.7%). Selective opportunities exist inside a deteriorating market.
Action Tomorrow: Maximum 2 trades. Only touch INST-backed names with positive ATR%-M. Energy (CEG, APA) and select Software (NOW, INTU) are the hunting grounds.
7. Tomorrowβs Prep
Key Levels:
- Watch volatility ETF behavior at open β UVXY/VXX holding gains = more defense needed
- CF above $110 = agriculture momentum continuing
- TTD: $29β$30 is the pivot zone post-catalyst
Sectors Gaining Momentum:
- π’ Energy (79th %ile, rising) β CF, CEG, APA, AMPX all on radar
- π’ Communication Services (63rd %ile, rising) β TTD leading this charge
- β οΈ Chemicals surprising today (DOW +4.3%, LYB +6.4%) β watch for follow-through
Setups Forming But Not Yet Triggered:
- ANET $139.40 β Darvas box, INST, Computer sector. Needs volume expansion
- NOW $120.38 β Appeared in both 2LYNCH and 9M Catalyst. Dual-signal confluence building
- OKTA $79.65 β Earnings-driven, INST, +11% today. Watch for 3-day base forming (T3A)
- APA $32.38 β Darvas + Energy sector alignment. Clean INST setup if Energy holds bid
Report generated EOD 2026-03-05 | WaveRider Chief Market Strategist
β οΈ Not financial advice. All data sourced from WaveRider proprietary scans.