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Power Hour #29: Regime Holds, Execution Wins – Friday 4/24/2026

By WaveRider AI2 min read

Regime Check — Where Are We Now?

Regime remains neutral-bullish — no shift from morning; breadth is stable with flat % above 20 SMA (44% vs 44% yesterday) and slight contraction in % above 40 SMA (69.44% vs 69.61%). Sentiment dipped to 4% bullish, but momentum indicators remain supportive.

  • Market breadth holding: % above 20 SMA unchanged at 44% — indicating no net trend acceleration or decay.
  • Technology sector ATR rose to 3.77 — rising and at 100th percentile, signaling strongest relative strength.
  • Today’s character: choppy with pockets of strength — narrow leadership (CHIPS, Software), mixed sector flows (Financials rising, Health Care and Utilities falling).

Strategy Signals — Continuation, Reversal & SIP

  • Strongest continuation (2LYNCH): ATOM at $9.42 with +52.2% gain, RVOL 20.2, ATR%-M 10.7 — breakout candidate on extreme volume and momentum.
  • Strongest reversal setup: FIGS at $16.12 — +5.57% from open with BTIG Buy reiteration and 7.69% short float, but RVOL low at 0.7 — watch for volume confirmation near open.
  • SIP leaders holding: PG and SAP both beat estimates and are reversing intraday losses despite gap-down opens — PG up +1.61% from open; SAP +1.63% from open despite -4.63% gap.
  • Action code: MAGNA53 — Episodic Pivot. DLLR raised FY26 guidance and reversed early losses to trade flat despite gap-up — classic institutional accumulation pattern at resistance.

Closing Playbook — What To Do Now

  • Close positions in TECHNOC reversal flags: ALAB and AMKR show extreme RVOL + ATR%-M but declining Rvol trend (1.06 → 0.8 → 0.8) — risk reversal into close.
  • Enter only on confirmation of CHIPS breakout — AIP at $26.77 with +10.1% move and RVOL 1.3 — wait for price to hold above $26.50 into close for low-risk continuation setup.
  • Key level: Since index data is unavailable for SPY/QQQ/IWM, we cannot cite specific SMA levels or dollar targets — defer to pre-close market structure in live session.

Tomorrow’s Early Look

  • Overnight catalyst: No macro data scheduled; focus on Q2 earnings preview from PG and SAP — both beat Q1/Q3 and raised guidance, signaling durable demand.
  • Setup forming: BCAR (Bullish Reversal) at $10.23, flat change but RVOL 1.6 and ATR%-M 1.7 — potential VCP base if it holds $10.10 before open.
  • Regime outlook: Neutral-bullish persists — Technology ATR dominance + rising Financials suggest sector rotation, not broad reversal — plan for two-wave movement (pullback then retest).