Continuation Breakout Monday 2PM 12/22/2025

Overall sector and industry analysis (EST window analyzed: 2025-12-22 10:00 to 14:00)

Note: The data provided covers intraday action for 12/22 rather than a full 30/10 trading-day window. The commentary below emphasizes the observed intraday momentum/volume and how it likely fits into the recent multi-day context.

• Defense/Aerospace showed clear relative strength: HII pushed to fresh session highs into the afternoon (HOD 356.28), NOC trended up toward 582–583, LHX edged higher; LMT was flat. This looks like a quiet rotation into defense bid.
  • Tickers referenced: HII, NOC, LHX, LMT.
• Financials were broadly in consolidation: money-center banks flat-to-firm (JPM ~322 holding; PNC steady), asset/alt managers neutral-to-firm (BLK, APO), financial data/services slightly soft-to-sideways (SPGI), and insurance mixed (CB/ALL/AJG/PGR near flat, HCI eased, RGA drifted). IBs (EVR, PIPR) dipped mid-day.
  • Tickers: JPM, PNC, BLK, APO, SPGI, CB, ALL, AJG, PGR, HCI, RGA, EVR, PIPR.
• Managed care continued to lag: UNH, ELV, HUM all faded intraday — a weak tape vs broader market.
  • Tickers: UNH, ELV, HUM, CI (CI held up best among the group).
• Large-cap Tech/Software mostly range-bound to slightly soft: ADBE/HUBS/FFIV treaded water to down fractionally; MSCI held steady.
  • Tickers: ADBE, HUBS, FFIV, MSCI.
• Industrials/Chemicals mixed-to-flat: APD/ECL/DOV/WTS/BMI/RS/ODFL/GWW oscillated inside narrow ranges with modest volumes.
  • Tickers: APD, ECL, DOV, WTS, BMI, RS, ODFL, GWW.
• Consumer mixed: ANF churned, YUM tight range, MUSA steady.
  • Tickers: ANF, YUM, MUSA.
• Solar weak-to-sideways: ARRY and SHLS couldn’t get traction — sellers capping pops.
  • Tickers: ARRY, SHLS.
• Biotech/Spec momentum pockets: Consistent bursts in select small/mid-cap biotech and microcaps. ASND broke higher toward 210+, TNDM (medtech) stair-stepped to HODs; CADL saw a mid-day volume surge to 6.14; LYEL and SIDU had outsized swings with very elevated volume; ATRA pushed, then cooled.
  • Tickers: ASND, TNDM, CADL, LYEL, SIDU, ATRA, ALEC, QURE, RYTM, TOI.

Takeaway: Quiet consolidation in Financials/Tech, underperformance in Managed Care, and steady accumulation in Defense. Selective risk-on in smaller Health/Biotech names. For short-term momentum, I prefer names with strong closes, rising 30-min structure, and expanding volume: HII, NOC, TNDM, ASND, and CADL.

Ticker performance prediction (next 2–3 days)

Likely to trade higher:
– HII, NOC (Defense leadership; higher highs on improving intraday volume)
– TNDM (higher-highs sequence, rising volume; closed near HOD)
– ASND (clean afternoon breakout with follow-through potential)
– CADL (emerging small-cap momentum with volume expansion; higher risk)

Strongest bullish signals today: HII, TNDM, ASND. High-risk momentum: CADL; speculative runner: SIDU (not a base, but a volume/momentum candidate if it forms a higher-low).

Individual stock analysis and trade plans (1–3 day swing)

Note on levels: Without a full 30-day daily chart, support/resistance references use today’s intraday pivots as proxies for near-term daily demand/supply and obvious round-number levels.

1. HII
   – Trend/momentum: Defense bid; new HOD into afternoon (356.28) with constructive sequence of higher lows.
   – Key supports (daily-proxy):
   – 353.20 (midday demand/pivot)
   – 352.25 (13:00 low)
   – 349.70–350.00 (session downside pivot/psych)
   – Key resistances:
   – 356.30 (HOD/supply tap)
   – 358.00 (minor supply/round)
   – 360.00 (larger supply/psych)
   – 30-min price action outlook (2–3 days): Expect early test of 354–355. If it holds, a push through 356.3 opens 358 then 360. Failure to hold 353.2 risks a shakeout to 352–351.5 before dip buyers show.
   – Targets (1–3 day; ~1x recent range ≈ 5–7 points):
   – 356.5, 358.4, 359.9–360.5
   – Entry ideas:
   – Pullback buy 354.0–354.5 or 353.2–353.6 on higher-low confirmation.
   – Stop-loss:
   – 351.4 (beneath 352 shelf) or tighter 352.0 if using a scalp.
   

Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

2. NOC
   – Trend/momentum: Steady crawl higher; rising highs toward 582–583 with defense sector strength.
   – Key supports:
   – 581.00 (intraday pivot)
   – 580.70 (12:30 low area)
   – 579.00 (prior demand and cushion below VWAP area)
   – Key resistances:
   – 582.63 (HOD)
   – 584.00 (near-term supply/round)
   – 586.50 (upper supply zone)
   – 30-min outlook: Prefer buy-the-dip above 581; push through 582.6 can tack on 1–3 points as long as 581 holds on retests.
   – Targets (recent range ≈ 4–5 points):
   – 583.0, 584.7, 586.3–586.8
   – Entry ideas:
   – 581.2–581.6 pullback with tight risk; or momentum add >582.7 on volume.
   – Stop-loss:
   – 579.8 (below structure) or 580.5 for tighter risk.
   

Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

3. TNDM
   – Trend/momentum: Clear intraday staircase with volume expansion; closed near HOD (24.05).
   – Key supports:
   – 23.80 (13:30 higher-low area)
   – 23.45–23.50 (midday support)
   – 23.00–23.10 (session base)
   – Key resistances:
   – 24.05–24.10 (HOD)
   – 24.50 (near-term supply/half-dollar)
   – 25.00 (psych)
   – 30-min outlook: First move likely a shallow pullback to 23.8–23.9, then a HOD test. Break/hold above 24.10 can extend to 24.5–24.8. Loss of 23.45 risks a deeper backfill toward 23.1–23.2 where buyers likely re-emerge.
   – Targets (recent range ≈ 0.8–1.0):
   – 24.20, 24.60, 24.95
   – Entry ideas:
   – 23.80–23.90 pullback buy; or break/hold >24.10 with rising 30-min volume.
   – Stop-loss:
   – 23.20 (beneath structure) or 22.95 if giving more room to base.
   

Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

4. ASND
   – Trend/momentum: Afternoon breakout from 206–208 base, tagged 210.47; held gains into the close.
   – Key supports:
   – 209.00 (breakout pivot)
   – 207.50–207.60 (intraday demand)
   – 206.10 (session base)
   – Key resistances:
   – 210.47 (HOD)
   – 212.00 (round)
   – 214.50–215.00 (upper supply)
   – 30-min outlook: Expect an early retest of 209–209.5; hold there and a push through 210.5 targets 212+. A failure to hold 207.5 risks a deeper tag of 206–206.5 before buyers step back in.
   – Targets (recent range ≈ 3.5–4.5):
   – 211.0, 212.5, 214.8
   – Entry ideas:
   – 208.8–209.5 pullback into breakout retest; or momentum >210.6 with volume.
   – Stop-loss:
   – 206.2 (beneath base) or tighter 207.2 if seeking tighter R:R.
   

Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

5. CADL
   – Trend/momentum: Small-cap biotech with mid-day volume surge; higher high to 6.139 then tight close near 6.02–6.05. High risk, but pattern supports a continuation try if dips are defended.
   – Key supports:
   – 6.02–6.05 (close/pivot)
   – 6.00 (psych)
   – 5.88–5.90 (earlier demand)
   – Key resistances:
   – 6.14 (HOD)
   – 6.20–6.22 (supply shelf)
   – 6.38–6.40 (extension target)
   – 30-min outlook: Look for higher-low above 6.00; reclaim/hold >6.14 likely squeezes to 6.22 then 6.35–6.40. Lose 5.88 and the breakout attempt is likely invalid for now.
   – Targets (recent range ≈ 0.25–0.30):
   – 6.14, 6.22, 6.35–6.40
   – Entry ideas:
   – 6.02–6.05 pullback with confirmation; or break/hold >6.14 on volume.
   – Stop-loss:
   – 5.88 (below demand) or tighter 5.95 for strict risk control.
   

Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

Notes and risk management
– Managed Care (UNH, ELV, HUM) remains the weak pocket; avoid longs there until 30-min trend reversals print higher lows and reclaim VWAPs.
– Solar (ARRY, SHLS) lacks confirmation; wait for basing and volume thrusts through prior intraday highs.
– SIDU is a potential momentum continuation but extremely volatile; only for advanced risk management if it builds a higher-low above 2.34–2.38 and reclaims 2.44–2.59 with volume.
– Use smaller size on thin or micro-cap names (e.g., CADL, SIDU) and scale out at targets.

If you want full 30-day/10-day daily-levels and ATR precision, share the broader time window and I’ll refine the levels/targets accordingly.