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Swing Idea

Continuation Breakout Thursday 1PM 12/04/2025

By WaveRider AI5 min read

Datetime window analyzed (EST): 2025-12-04 from 10:30–13:00 (with a few prints as early as 08:30). Note: Only intraday 30-min bars for today were provided; 30-day/10-day context isn’t available in the feed. Conclusions focus on current momentum, relative strength, and volume expansion likely to carry 1–3 days.

Overall Sector and Industry Analysis

  • Precious metals/miners (HYMC, SA, NUGT, BTG, IAG, AEM, RGLD, FNV, GROY, MUX): Broad bid with steady pushes higher and constructive closes (SA to 30.30, GROY to 4.375, IAG to 15.285, NUGT held gains). Flows favor gold exposure; dips were bought.
  • Copper/industrial metals (TGB, SCCO, TMQ): Copper-levered names firm (TGB to 5.365, TMQ to 4.635) while SCCO was stable. Tone is risk-on for base metals.
  • Semis/Photonics/Electronics (FN, TTMI, SMTC, AEIS, LASR, TER, COHR, WOLF, ONTO, SANM): Strong dispersion. Clear leaders: FN (fresh session highs), TTMI (range expansion to 72.85/73.35 HOD), SMTC grind up to 79.20, AEIS/LASR constructive. Laggards: WOLF trend-lower; COHR and TER soft.
  • AI/data center/infra (VRT, APLD, FLNC): VRT broke higher toward 185+, strong closing tone. APLD stair-stepped up through 31.40s with rising volume. FLNC reclaimed 23s after early washout, showing buyers control mid-day.
  • Industrial contractors/electrical (STRL, PWR, DY, IESC, EME, HUBB, PRIM, POWL): Bid across the complex; STRL and POWL pushed toward session highs; EME, PWR, HUBB firm. Tone suggests continued rotation into quality industrials.
  • Medtech/Biotech/Healthcare (PEN, RGTX, RAPT, ACRS, AXGN, GKOS, NTRA, GH; OSCR/ALHC managed care): High-beta biotech momentum (RGTX surged 85.7→94.1 then held upper range). PEN trended to 294–295. ACRS stair-stepped higher to 3.05. OSCR trended to HOD near 17.66. AXGN cooled after an early pop.
  • Energy/Oil (FANG): Steady intraday bid back to 161+. Constructive but not explosive.
  • Fintech/Consumer/Other (SOFI, OPEN, ULCC): SOFI reclaimed 29.64 with late-day push; ULCC climbed methodically toward 5.

Notable patterns

  • Momentum continuations into midday with volume supporting breakouts: VRT, FN, TTMI, STRL, PEN, RGTX, APLD, FLNC.
  • Metals complex (gold/copper) acting as steady bid capture: SA, GROY, TGB.
  • Divergence within semis favors signal-integrity/PCB/analog subsectors (TTMI, SMTC, FN) over SiC power (WOLF) and some optics (COHR).

Ticker Performance Prediction (next 2–3 days)
Most likely to continue higher: VRT, FN, TTMI, STRL, PEN, RGTX, APLD, FLNC, SA, TGB, OSCR, SMTC.
Strongest bullish signals (closing strength + expansion): VRT, FN, TTMI, STRL, RGTX, APLD.

Individual Stock Analysis (levels, plan, and 2–3 day outlook)
Note: Supports/resistances derived from today’s 30-min structure and round-number zones; use as proxies for near-term daily supply/demand.

  1. VRT

  • Support: 183.10; 182.88; 181.92

  • Resistance/targets: 184.50; 185.34; 187.00 (range extension)

  • 30-min read: Higher-highs with volume into 185 area. Expect dip-buys above 183 to push 185–187 in 1–3 days if market stays firm.

  • Entry: 183.2–183.6 on pullbacks

  • Stops: 182.3 (tight) or 181.8 (wider)

  • Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

  1. FN

  • Support: 468.14; 468.81; 465.26

  • Resistance/targets: 472.50; 473.01; 475.50

  • 30-min read: Persistent bid; closing near HOD. Looking for 472.5/473 push, then 475–476 if momentum persists.

  • Entry: 468.5–469.5

  • Stops: 466.9 (tight) or 465.0 (structure)

  • Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

  1. TTMI

  • Support: 71.24; 70.78; 70.65

  • Resistance/targets: 72.48; 72.85; 73.35

  • 30-min read: Breakout and hold. Dips toward low-71s likely get bought; look for 72.8–73.3 test in 1–2 days.

  • Entry: 71.3–71.6

  • Stops: 70.50

  • Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

  1. STRL

  • Support: 333.06; 332.73; 330.36

  • Resistance/targets: 334.27; 336.49; 337.22

  • 30-min read: Trend day up in a strong group (infrastructure). Expect consolidation above 333 then continuation toward 336–337+.

  • Entry: 333.2–333.8

  • Stops: 331.0

  • Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

  1. PEN

  • Support: 292.06; 290.35; 289.88

  • Resistance/targets: 294.92; 295.27; 297.00

  • 30-min read: Grind up with higher lows; buyers defended 292s. Room to tag 295–297 near term.

  • Entry: 292.5–293.2

  • Stops: 291.0

  • Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

  1. RGTX

  • Support: 91.28; 90.53; 88.81

  • Resistance/targets: 93.51; 94.12; 95.50

  • 30-min read: Big range expansion, then held upper third. If 91–92 holds, continuation to mid-94s/95.5 possible.

  • Entry: 91.3–92.0

  • Stops: 90.0 (below intraday swing)

  • Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

  1. APLD

  • Support: 31.08; 30.97; 30.70

  • Resistance/targets: 31.53; 31.54; 32.00

  • 30-min read: Rising channel with volume build. Favor 31 pullbacks for a push into 31.5–32 over 1–3 days.

  • Entry: 31.0–31.1

  • Stops: 30.65

  • Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

  1. FLNC

  • Support: 23.06; 22.96; 22.35

  • Resistance/targets: 23.30; 23.36; 23.80

  • 30-min read: Strong reclaim after early sell. Above 23, momentum can carry to 23.3–23.8.

  • Entry: 23.00–23.10

  • Stops: 22.75

  • Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

  1. SA

  • Support: 30.03; 29.78; 29.68

  • Resistance/targets: 30.30; 30.32; 31.00

  • 30-min read: Metals tailwind; SA pushed and held 30+. Look for 30.3–30.6 then 31 if gold stays bid.

  • Entry: 29.85–29.95

  • Stops: 29.55

  • Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

  1. TGB

  • Support: 5.33; 5.32; 5.30

  • Resistance/targets: 5.36; 5.37; 5.40

  • 30-min read: Clean trend up; buyers stepped in on shallow dips. Expect 5.37–5.40 tests; continuation aided by copper strength.

  • Entry: 5.33–5.35

  • Stops: 5.28

  • Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

  1. OSCR

  • Support: 17.42; 17.37; 17.28

  • Resistance/targets: 17.66; 17.70; 17.90

  • 30-min read: Steady grind higher to HOD; healthcare services sentiment supportive. Continuation into 17.7–17.9 if 17.4s hold.

  • Entry: 17.45–17.52

  • Stops: 17.30

  • Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

  1. SMTC

  • Support: 78.86; 78.43; 78.10

  • Resistance/targets: 79.20; 79.37; 79.90

  • 30-min read: Higher lows all session; semis breadth supportive. Anticipate 79.2–79.9 in 1–2 days on dips holding 78.8.

  • Entry: 78.9–79.0

  • Stops: 78.4

  • Open full analysis on WaveFinder →

Additional runners to monitor (constructive but not detailed above): GROY, ADMA, ACRS, LUNR, FANG, EME, POWL, PWR. These showed intraday strength/accumulation and could continue if sector flows persist.

Risk notes

  • We lack 10–30 day context/ATR; treat targets as conservative extensions of today’s realized ranges and nearby supply zones. Tighten risk if indices weaken or leaders lose intraday supports.