Swing Idea

Delayed 9M / Episodic Pivot Analysis — 2026-08-25

By WaveRider AI3 min readSignal date

Catalyst Overview

The tape today features 152 Delayed 9M signals and 15 fresh 9M catalyst events — a numerically rich session, but with zero EP-tagged names and a Cautious SA regime, selectivity is paramount. Breadth is modest at 55.8% above SMA-40 with a Bullish/Neutral sentiment tilt, while leadership sits in Health Care and Communication Services (3.4% ATR%) — neither of which appears in today’s Top 10 D9M list, a mild disconnect worth noting. Every Top 10 candidate carries the G (gap≥4%) flag, and three names (ETHU, MSTX, SNDQ) stack a second flag, N (neglect<100 funds) — but none show MA, A, 5, or 3 criteria, meaning true multi-factor MAGNA53 setups remain scarce (roughly 3 of 10 qualify as legitimate two-flag candidates, and those are leveraged ETFs, not operating companies). Quality Score: 3/5 — single-flag gap reactions dominate, sector leadership is misaligned with catalyst activity, and the Cautious regime caps conviction absent EP confirmation. Fresh catalysts ABCL (+17.8%) and CAPR (+21.9%) stand out as high-volume gap events that could seed tomorrow’s delayed 9M list if follow-through confirms.

Top 5 MAGNA53 Candidates

ASST ($21.39) — Finance

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Catalyst Analysis: Gapped 8.3% one day ago on 14.7M volume, confirmed with a BullishMarkupBar and now extending +8.4% intraday with RVOL 2.8 — the strongest volume signature in the group.

MAGNA53 Score: G (gap≥4%) confirmed; sits just 3.5% below 52-week high with 138 institutional funds (moderate coverage).

EntryStopTarget
$21.40$19.60 (below demand 18.55)$24.00 (52W-high breakout)

BMNR ($24.82) — Finance

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Catalyst Analysis: 5.7% gap one day ago on massive 66.6M volume; price is sitting directly at_demand (23.23–24.14) with supply overhead just 1.13% away at weekly 25.10–30.55 — a tight coil setup.

MAGNA53 Score: G flag confirmed; 268 funds tracking; 62.2% below 52W high leaves room to run if supply is cleared.

EntryStopTarget
$24.60 (at demand)$22.90$28.50

NG ($9.77) — Mining

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Catalyst Analysis: 7.2% gap one day ago on 9.3M volume, BullishMarkupBar reaction, now +4.5% intraday with steady RVOL 1.2 — a clean sector-diversifying setup away from crypto-adjacent finance names.

MAGNA53 Score: G flag confirmed; 324 funds; demand zone 8.65–9.02 (7.68% below) and weekly supply 10.41–12.80 define a clear range.

EntryStopTarget
$9.75$8.55$10.40 / $12.00 stretch

COIN ($187.16) — Finance

Catalyst Analysis: 8.2% catalyst move two days ago on 22.7M volume, still confirming BullishMarkupBar. Institutional-grade name with 2,030 funds (INST flag) but currently at_supply (190.90–191.83), just 2% overhead.

MAGNA53 Score: G flag confirmed; heavy institutional ownership offsets lack of N/neglect flag; 53.5% below 52W high offers long-term room.

EntryStopTarget
$188.50 (breakout above $191.83)$178.00$205.00

SNAP ($5.92) — Internet

Catalyst Analysis: 5.5% gap one day ago on heavy 43.9M volume, extending +7.0% intraday. Currently pressing at_supply (6.08–6.115), only 2.7% overhead — a breakout-or-fade decision point.

MAGNA53 Score: G flag confirmed; 648 funds; adds sector diversification outside crypto/finance-heavy list.

EntryStopTarget
$5.95 (breakout above $6.12)$5.45$6.80

Fresh 9M Catalysts

Today’s real-time catalyst tape produced two standout gap events: CAPR (+21.9%, 17.6M vol) and ABCL (+17.8%, 10.7M vol), both far exceeding the 4% gap threshold and warranting close monitoring for delayed-9M confirmation over the next 1–2 sessions. BZ (+5.5%, 14.3M vol) and CRCL (+4.9%, 18.1M vol) also qualify as fresh gap catalysts with solid volume support. ASST reappears on both the fresh list and Top 10, reinforcing its multi-day momentum credibility.

Summary

Today’s episodic pivot landscape is moderate quality — abundant single-flag gap reactions but no EP tags and limited multi-criteria MAGNA53 alignment. Catalyst activity concentrated heavily in Finance (crypto-adjacent) and ETF/ETN names, with Mining and Internet providing thin diversification. Given the Cautious regime, traders should favor names with confirmed demand-zone support (BMNR, NG) over supply-pressed setups (COIN, SNAP) unless breakout confirmation appears. CAPR and ABCL are the names to watch for tomorrow’s delayed-9M pipeline.

Signals

ASST
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow) Sample visualization · illustrative data
Price
$21.39
Entry
$21.40
Target
$24.00
BMNR
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow) Sample visualization · illustrative data
Price
$24.82
Entry
$24.60
Stop
$22.90
Target
$28.50
NG
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow) Sample visualization · illustrative data
Price
$9.77
Entry
$9.75
Stop
$8.55
COIN
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow) Sample visualization · illustrative data
Price
$187.16
Stop
$178.00
Target
$205.00
SNAP
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow) Sample visualization · illustrative data
Price
$5.92
Stop
$5.45
Target
$6.80