Swing Idea

Delayed 9M / Episodic Pivot Analysis — 2026-09-05

By WaveRider AI4 min readSignal date

Catalyst Overview

Today’s tape shows a moderate-to-rich catalyst backdrop with 106 Delayed 9M signals and 18 fresh 9M catalyst events, but notably zero EP-tagged stocks in play. Nearly all Top 10 candidates carry only the G (Gap >= 4%) flag, with just one name (CHPT) stacking a second flag (N — Neglected, <100 funds). No MA, A, 5, or 3 flags appear anywhere in the dataset, meaning this is not a rich multi-flag MAGNA53 day despite the signal count.

Quality Score: 2.5/5. The SA Regime is Cautious, which caps conviction — only the highest-quality setups should score 4+. With no EP tags, single-flag dominance, and mixed sector alignment (several candidates sit outside today’s leading sectors of Energy, Health Care, and Communication Services), this is a selective, stock-picker’s day rather than a broad-based rip.

Roughly 2 of 10 Top candidates (BE, CHPT) sit in the leading Energy sector, aligning with regime strength. Fresh intraday catalysts include CBRG (+20.1%, vol 28.5M) and CBRS (+10.3%, vol 13.8M), both high-volume gap movers worth tracking for tomorrow’s delayed-9M list.

Top 5 MAGNA53 Candidates

BE ($252.87) — Energy

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Catalyst Analysis: Gapped 8.4% one day ago on 15.6M shares, confirmed by a Bullish Markup Bar; still extending today (+7.3%, RVOL 1.4). Institutional-backed (1,910 funds) with the stock now testing the 257.41–261.01 30m supply zone — a breakout here would be significant given Energy is today’s top-performing sector.

MAGNA53 Score: G (gap>=4%) confirmed. INST ownership strong but not neglected; no acceleration/short-interest/upgrade data flagged.

EntryStopTarget
$253.00$238.00$272.00

CHPT ($9.89) — Energy

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Catalyst Analysis: Explosive 75.0% single-day move one day ago on 44.1M shares — the largest catalyst in today’s list — followed by continued strength (+8.9%, RVOL 5.2). Sitting between demand and daily supply (11.06–10.46), this is the most volatile, highest-momentum name on the board.

MAGNA53 Score: G (gap>=4%) and N (neglected, 87 funds) both confirmed — the only dual-flag setup in today’s dataset.

EntryStopTarget
$9.89$8.60$11.00

SMMT ($17.60) — Medical

Catalyst Analysis: Sharp 17.3% gap one day ago on 14.9M shares, Bullish Markup Bar reaction, aligning with Health Care as today’s second-strongest sector. Wide weekly demand (12.07–13.16, strength 7.2) and supply (22.08–29.23, strength 8.2) frame a large potential range.

MAGNA53 Score: G (gap>=4%) confirmed only.

EntryStopTarget
$17.60$15.80$22.00

ORCL ($158.78) — Software

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Catalyst Analysis: 5.7% gap one day ago on heavy 25.1M volume, Bullish Pin Bar reaction, extending +3.1% today. Lowest ATR risk of the group (30.6%) with deep institutional backing (4,450 funds), offering the most conservative risk profile.

MAGNA53 Score: G (gap>=4%) confirmed only; strong institutional quality offsets lack of additional flags.

EntryStopTarget
$158.78$152.00$166.50

CNH ($14.40) — Machine

Catalyst Analysis: 9.2% gap two days ago on massive 53.8M volume, Bullish Markup Bar, still up 4.0% today near 52-week highs (-0.4%). Strong daily demand zone (11.79–12.50, strength 8.5) with 1,470 institutional funds provides a solid technical base.

MAGNA53 Score: G (gap>=4%) confirmed only.

EntryStopTarget
$14.40$13.20$16.20

Fresh 9M Catalysts

CBRG (+20.1%, vol 28.5M) and CBRS (+10.3%, vol 13.8M) are the standout fresh gap movers today, both showing high-volume conviction that could seed tomorrow’s delayed-9M list if reaction bars confirm bullish structure. AMD (+4.7%, vol 19.7M) and BE (+7.3%) continue trending catalysts already on the Top 10 board, while CHPT (+8.9%, vol 13.4M) extends its explosive prior-day move — watch for a second consecutive bullish reaction bar to strengthen its delayed-9M case.

Summary

Today’s episodic pivot landscape is moderate in volume but light in flag density — single-flag G setups dominate, with CHPT the lone dual-flag standout and zero EP tags overall. In a Cautious regime, discipline matters: favor Energy and Health Care exposure (BE, CHPT, SMMT) where sector momentum supports follow-through, while ORCL and CNH offer lower-risk, institutionally-backed alternatives. Energy remains the clear leadership sector (2.4% ATR%), and fresh catalysts CBRG/CBRS deserve close monitoring for tomorrow’s setups.

Signals

BE
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow) Sample visualization · illustrative data
Price
$252.87
Entry
$253.00
Stop
$238.00
Target
$272.00
CHPT
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow) Sample visualization · illustrative data
Price
$9.89
Entry
$9.89
Stop
$8.60
Target
$11.00
SMMT
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow) Sample visualization · illustrative data
Price
$17.60
Entry
$17.60
Stop
$15.80
Target
$22.00
ORCL
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow) Sample visualization · illustrative data
Price
$158.78
Entry
$158.78
Stop
$152.00
Target
$166.50
CNH
SMAUp (filled)Down (hollow) Sample visualization · illustrative data
Price
$14.40
Entry
$14.40
Stop
$13.20
Target
$16.20